A Study of Bevacizumab (Avastin) in Neoadjuvant Therapy in Participants With International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) Stage IIIC/IV Ovarian, Tubal, or Peritoneal Cancer, Initially Unresectable
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-08-17, after 2013-02-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-08-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartcancercellchemotherapyiv
Phrases that lowered it: participantsefficacy andsafety ofbevacizumabthe efficacy -
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 27.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 614 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 15894 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 221 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 57161 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Keywords listed: 0 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 614 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 9.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 221 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 57161 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 15894 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 27.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, carboplatin, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of the Addition of Avastin (Bevacizumab) to Carboplatin and Paclitaxel Therapy in Patients With Ovarian Cancer NCT01239732 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Evaluation of Optimal Treatment Duration of Bevacizumab Combination With Standard Chemotherapy in Patients With Ovarian Cancer NCT01462890 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- Bevacizumab in Combination With Chemotherapy in the Neo-adjuvant Setting for HER2 (-) Breast Cancer NCT01985841 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials terminated
- Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy IV Carboplatin With Weekly Paclitaxel \Bevacizumab for Primary Ovarian NCT01219777 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
- A Study of First Line Treatment With Avastin (Bevacizumab) in Combination With Carboplatin and Weekly Paclitaxel in Patients With Ovarian Cancer NCT00937560 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.