Safety and Immunogenicity of Different Dosing Schedules of GlaxoSmithkline (GSK) Biologicals' Herpes Zoster (HZ) Vaccine in Adults 50 Years of Age or Older
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-04-08, after 2013-03-12 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-04-08. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: administration ordaysthe safetycancerchildbearing potential
Phrases that lowered it: vaccinevaccinationperiodagedadministration -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 50 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 1731 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 340 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 50 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1731 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 340 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Immunogenicity Study of GSK Biologicals' Herpes Zoster Subunit (HZ/su) Vaccine GSK1437173A When Administered Subcutaneously Intramuscularly in Adults Aged ≥50 Years NCT01777321 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Immunogenicity and Safety of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Herpes Zoster Subunit (HZ/su) Vaccine GSK1437173A in Adults With a Prior Episode of Herpes Zoster NCT01827839 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Immunogenicity and Safety of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Herpes Zoster Vaccine GSK1437173A When Co-administered With GSK Biologicals' Seasonal Influenza Vaccine GSK2321138A in Adults Aged 50 Years and Older NCT01954251 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Safety and Immunogenicity Study of GlaxoSmithKline's Herpes Zoster Subunit Vaccine (HZ/su) When Given on a Two-dose Schedule to Adults at Least 50 Years of Age (YOA) With a Prior Episode of Herpes Zoster NCT04091451 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Impact of Reactogenicity on Quality of Life (QoL), After Administration of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Candidate Herpes Zoster Subunit (HZ/su) Vaccine (GSK1437173A) in Adults ≥ 50 Years of Age NCT02979639 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.