An Evaluation of Sarilumab Plus Methotrexate Compared to Etanercept Plus Methotrexate in RA Patients Not Responding to Adalimumab Plus Methotrexate

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (336 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: assess theto assesssecondarydefinedprimary objective
  Phrases that lowered it: combinationrarheumatoidweeks beforeoral
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 37.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 702 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 4.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 107 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 62655 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 250239 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Keywords listed: 0 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study Assessing the Safety and Efficacy of Sarilumab Added to Non-MTX DMARDs or as Monotherapy in Japanese Patients With Active Rheumatoid Arthritis (SARIL-RA-HARUKA) NCT02373202 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
• Evaluation of Sarilumab (SAR153191/REGN88) on Top of Methotrexate in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients NCT01061736 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Sarilumab and Adalimumab Monotherapy in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis (SARIL-RA-MONARCH) NCT02332590 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
• A Study Assessing the Efficacy and Safety of Sarilumab Added to MTX in Japanese Patients With Moderately to Severely Active Rheumatoid Arthritis (SARIL-RA-KAKEHASI) NCT02293902 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
• To Evaluate The Effect Of SAR153191 (REGN88) Added To Other RA Drugs In Patients With RA Who Are Not Responding To Or Intolerant Of Anti-TNF Therapy (SARIL-RA-TARGET) NCT01709578 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.