Prospective Double-blind Placebo-controlled Study of the Effect of Xolair (Omalizumab) in Chronic Urticaria Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase and sponsor type, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,012 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-03-31, after 2012-09-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-03-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientblind placeboplacebo controlledundergoingmg
Phrases that lowered it: chronicinvestigateweeksreceptordiseases -
Collaborators: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 6.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: basic science (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 22 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 49 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2/3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 3 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 49 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 22 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 7043 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1667 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 84.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 6.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- immunology, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- omalizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Omalizumab (Xolair®) to Treat Chronic Urticaria NCT01713725 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 31% of active trials completed
- Mode of Action Study of Omalizumab in Patients With Chronic Idiopathic Urticaria (CIU) Who Fail to Respond to Antihistamine Treatment NCT01599637 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Response Duration and Safety of Xolair (Omalizumab) in Patients With Chronic Idiopathic Urticaria (CIU)/Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) Who Remain Symptomatic Despite Antihistamine Treatment (H1) NCT01292473 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- A Safety Study of Xolair (Omalizumab) in Patients With Chronic Idiopathic Urticaria (CIU) Who Remain Symptomatic Despite Treatment With H1 Antihistamines, H2 Blockers, and/or Leukotriene Receptor Antagonists NCT01264939 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Efficacy and Safety of Omalizumab (Xolair) in Patients With Chronic Idiopathic Urticaria (CIU)/Chronic Spontaneous Urticaria (CSU) Who Remain Symptomatic Despite Antihistamine (H1) Treatment NCT01287117 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.