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Is Analgesic Effect of Low Dose Ketamine-midazolam the Same as Morphine

NCT01807429 on ClinicalTrials.gov Phase 2/3 Isfahan University of Medical Sciences (academic or other) Started 2012-12-31 Completed
Riskier than 8% of active trials
this trial: 7% 0% 36%

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 7% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (273 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

How it ended

Completed on 2013-02-28, after 2012-12-31 start.

The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start

0% 24% 47% 71% 95% 0123456 yr completed 82% terminated 12%

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-02-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

What moved the score

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

The trial

Design

Phase
2/3 (typical: 2)
Number of arms
2
Allocation
randomized
Design
parallel
Primary purpose
treatment
Blinding
single (typical: none)
Has a data monitoring committee
Yes (typical: 56% yes)
Responsible party
principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
Collaborators
0
Keywords listed
4 (typical: 1)

Who can join

Minimum age
18
Maximum age
60 (typical: 71)
Sex
all
Accepts healthy volunteers
Yes (typical: 9% yes)

Sponsor's track record

Sponsor type
academic or other
Sponsor's past trials
35 (typical: 32)
Sponsor's past termination rate
0% (typical: 9.9%)
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
33 (typical: 19)

Drug's FDA history

Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
3 (typical: 1)
Drug has FAERS history
Yes (typical: 64% yes)
Drug's FAERS reports before start
34923 (typical: 2148)
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
6849 (typical: 412.5)
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
89.8% (typical: 85.6%)
Drug's FAERS reports with a death
28.4% (typical: 15.9%)

Disease area and drugs

Disease areas
none of the 14 tracked areas
Drugs matched to FDA substances
ketamine, midazolam, morphine

Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.

Similar finished trials

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.