ABX Combined With Cisplatin Compared With Gemcitabine Combined With Cisplatin in NSCLC
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 22% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-12-31, after 2011-12-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 15% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: lungpatientssmall cellbraincisplatin
Phrases that lowered it: the trialcellindexallergictrials -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 44 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 22.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 20 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 44 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 20661 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3948 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cisplatin, gemcitabine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Cisplatin/Vinorelbine/Bevacizumab Followed by Docetaxel/Gemcitabine/Bevacizumab Versus the Cisplatin/Docetaxel/Bevacizumab Combination in Locally Advanced or Metastatic NSCLC NCT00620971 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
- An Exploratory Study of OCZ103-OS in Combination With Standard of Care in Stage IV Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Patients NCT01844791 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- Study for Therapy of Locally Advanced or Metastatic Non Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) With Cisplatin / Docetaxel or Oxaliplatin / Docetaxel NCT01222312 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
- Trial Of AG-013736, Cisplatin, And Gemcitabine For Patients With Squamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT00735904 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
- Phase II Study of Abraxane and Gemicitabine in Patients With Advanced Adenocarcinoma Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Progressing After First-Line Platinum-Based Chemotherapy NCT02303977 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.