Safety and Immunogenicity of Three Dosage Levels of Swine Influenza Vaccine in Children Ages 3 to <9 Years, Adolescents 9 to <18 Years, Adults 18 to <65 Years and Elderly 65 Years and Older.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 2% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-09-30, after 2013-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: arthritisrheumatoidstatusdisordercell
Phrases that lowered it: vaccineinfluenzavaccinationindividualsvaccines -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 24 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 125 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 92 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 3 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 92 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 125 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 24 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Immunogenicity of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Quadrivalent Influenza Candidate Vaccine (GSK2321138A) Manufactured Using a New Process in Adults and Children NCT02207413 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Safety and Immunogenicity of a Live-attenuated Universal Flu Vaccine Followed by an Inactivated Universal Flu Vaccine NCT03300050 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Co-Administration of AS03 Adjuvanted A/H7N9 IIV With IIV4 NCT03318315 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- H7N9 Vaccination With and Without AS03 and Unadjuvanted H3N2v Vaccination: Standard and Systems Biology Analyses NCT02921997 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- 2013/2017 H7N9 Prime-Boost Interval NCT03589807 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.