Quizartinib With Azacitidine or Cytarabine in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Myelodysplastic Syndrome

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 31% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-02-07. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: patients mustamlmdseligiblepurpose
  Phrases that lowered it: drugscombinationmethodssinglecontraception
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 28.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 36.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 169 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Quizartinib and High-dose Ara-C Plus Mitoxantrone in Relapsed/Refractory AML With FLT3-ITD NCT03989713 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
• Quizartinib With Standard of Care Chemotherapy and as Continuation Therapy in Patients With Newly Diagnosed FLT3-ITD (+) Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT02668653 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
• Filgrastim, Cladribine, Cytarabine, and Mitoxantrone With Sorafenib in Treating Patients With Newly-Diagnosed, Acute Myeloid Leukemia or High-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT02728050 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
• Venetoclax and Quizartinib in Treating Patients With FLT3-mutated Recurrent or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT03735875 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
• Clinical Trial to Assess the Safety and Tolerability of the Combination of Low-dose Cytarabine or Azacitidine Plus Venetoclax and Quizartinib in Newly Diagnosed AML Patients Aged Equal or More Than 60 Years Old NCT04687761 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.