Bevacizumab in Pats w/ Recurrent ST Brain Metas Who Have Failed Whole Brain Radiation Therapy
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 22% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-09-05, after 2013-11-27 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-09-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 21.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientscancertumorbrainsolid
Phrases that lowered it: within 1414 daysblood pressureevaluatedays prior -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 33.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 88 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 248 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 33215 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 0 (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 248 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 21.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 88 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 33215 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5842 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 33.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Pembrolizumab and Reirradiation in Bevacizumab Naïve and Bevacizumab Resistant Recurrent Glioblastoma NCT03661723 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 91% of active trials completed
- Bevacizumab With or Without Radiation Therapy in Treating Patients With Recurrent Glioblastoma NCT01730950 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
- Bevacizumab Beyond Progression (BBP) NCT01740258 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
- Temozolomide and Irinotecan Hydrochloride With or Without Bevacizumab in Treating Young Patients With Recurrent or Refractory Medulloblastoma or CNS Primitive Neuroectodermal Tumors NCT01217437 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
- VB-111 in Surgically Accessible Recurrent/Progressive GBM NCT04406272 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.