An Extension Study of ABT-199 in Subjects With Advanced Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 15% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-12-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: lymphomalymphocyticcellcllleukemia
  Phrases that lowered it: subjectssubjectthe investigatorsafetyeffect
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 34 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: 99 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 18 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study Evaluating the Safety, Efficacy and Pharmacokinetics of Venetoclax Combined With Chemotherapy in Participants With B-Cell Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) and DLBCL NCT02055820 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1 Study Evaluating the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of ABT-199 in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia and Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT01328626 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
• A Study Evaluating the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of ABT-199 in Combination With Bendamustine/Rituximab (BR) in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma NCT01594229 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1b Study Evaluating the Safety and Tolerability of ABT-199 in Combination With Rituximab in Subjects With Relapsed Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia and Small Lymphocytic Lymphoma NCT01682616 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
• A Study of Retreatment With Brentuximab Vedotin in Subjects With Classic Hodgkin Lymphoma or CD30-expressing Peripheral T Cell Lymphoma NCT03947255 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.