A Phase 2 Study of ABT-199 in Subjects With Acute Myelogenous Leukemia (AML)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 13% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-12-31, after 2013-11-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: leukemiaamlmyeloidcellmyelogenous
Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsand safetydrugefficacy and -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 30 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 99 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 17 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 99 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 17 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 30 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- venetoclax
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of ABT-199 (GDC-0199) in Combination With Azacitidine or Decitabine (Chemo Combo) in Subjects With Acute Myelogenous Leukemia (AML) NCT02203773 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 37% of active trials terminated
- A Study of Oral Venetoclax Tablet in Combination With Subcutaneous Low-Dose Cytarabine (LDAC) Injection to Assess Adverse Events in Adult Japanese Participants With Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT04509622 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
- A Study of Venetoclax and Alvocidib in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT03441555 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
- Study of Alvocidib in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory AML Following Treatment With Venetoclax Combination Therapy NCT03969420 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials terminated
- Venetoclax Add in Combination With Fludarabine, Cyratabine and Idarubicine in Induction for Acute Myelid Leukemia NCT03455504 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.