Azacytidine and Lymphocytes in Relapse of AML or MDS After Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation.

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 30% for any early termination, 22% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-11-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: time ofmarrowacutesyndromechronic
  Phrases that lowered it: antigenhivbloodseveretrial
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 50.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 98.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety Study of 5-Azacitidine and Standard Donor Lymphocyte Infusion (DLI) to Treat Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) or Myelodysplastic Syndrome (MDS) Relapsing After Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation NCT00795548 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials completed
• VIDAZA-DLI Pre-emptive Azacitidine and Donor Lymphocyte Infusions Following Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation for High Risk Acute Myeloid Leukemia and Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT01541280 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
• Reduced Intensity Regimen vs Myeloablative Regimen for Myeloid Leukemia or Myelodysplastic Syndrome (BMT CTN 0901) NCT01339910 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials terminated
• Guadecitabine and Donor Lymphocyte Infusion in Treating Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Myelodysplastic Syndrome Relapsing After Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplant NCT02684162 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
• Controlled Study of Post-transplant Azacitidine for Prevention of Acute Myelogenous Leukemia and Myelodysplastic Syndrome Relapse (VZ-AML-PI-0129) NCT00887068 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.