Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics Study of GSK2881078 in Single and Repeat Doses
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-03-26, after 2014-01-20 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-03-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilitysubjects withsubjectascendingheart
Phrases that lowered it: healthyreferencegrapefruitperiodml of -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 1891 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 313 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 50 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 5 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 50 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1891 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 313 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of GSK2849466 in Healthy Male Subjects NCT01696604 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Single Dose Escalation Study of GSK2838232 in Healthy Subjects NCT01802918 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetic (PK), and Pharmacodynamic Study of GSK2881078 and Study to Evaluate the Effect of CYP3A4 Inhibition on PK of GSK2881078 NCT02567773 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- GSK706769 Repeat Dose Study NCT00711386 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Relative Bioavailability of Three Formulations and Food Effect on GSK1322322 in Healthy Subjects NCT01648179 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.