To Assess the Effect of Itraconazole and Fluconazole on the Pharmacokinetics of Selumetinib in Healthy Male Volunteers
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-06-30, after 2014-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjects ofor nonocularto assessnon childbearing
Phrases that lowered it: the pharmacokineticshealthythe effecteffect ofvolunteers -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 151 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 1228 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: basic science (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1228 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 151 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 20811 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2679 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 24.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- fluconazole, itraconazole, selumetinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- To Assess the Effect of Rifampicin on the Pharmacokinetics of Selumetinib in Healthy Male Volunteers NCT02046850 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- To Assess the Effect of Food on the Pharmacokinetics of Selumetinib (AZD6244; ARRY-142886) (Hyd-Sulfate) in Healthy Male Volunteers NCT01974349 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- To Assess the Effects of Single Oral Dose of Selumetinib [AZD6244; ARRY-142886] [Hyd-Sulfate]), on QTc Interval in Healthy Male Volunteers NCT02056392 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- To Assess the Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability of Selumetinib in Patients With Hepatic Impairment and Healthy Subjects NCT02063230 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- To Assess the Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability of Selumetinib in Renal Impaired Subjects and Healthy Subjects NCT02063204 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.