A Prospective, Multicenter, Study of APF530 (Granisetron) SC for Prevention of CINV in Patients Receiving HEC

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 16% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chemotherapyivmetastaticdefinedradiation
  Phrases that lowered it: daysubjectskgpainhas history
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 27.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study of Palonosetron for the Prevention of Chemotherapy-Induced Nausea and Vomiting (CINV) in Participants Who Have Experienced CINV(Chemotherapy-Induced Nausea and Vomiting) During the Previous Cycle of Low Emetogenic Chemotherapy (LEC) NCT01054456 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
• A Safety Study of Intravenous Pro-Netupitant and Palonosetron Combination for the Prevention of Nausea and Vomiting NCT02517021 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Safety and the Efficacy of IV Fosnetupitant/Palonosetron (260 mg/0.25 mg) Combination Compared to Oral Netupitant/Palonosetron (300 mg/0.5 mg) Combination for the Prevention of CINV in AC Chemotherapy in Women With Breast Cancer NCT03403712 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
• An Efficacy and Safety Study of Oral and Intravenous Palonosetron for the Prevention of Nausea and Vomiting NCT01363479 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials completed
• An Efficacy and Safety Study of Oral Netupitant and Palonosetron for the Prevention of Nausea and Vomiting NCT01339260 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.