Drug-Drug Interaction Study: ASP2151 and Ritonavir
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 2% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-12-31, after 2014-09-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartfunctioncoronaryevidencedonor
Phrases that lowered it: healthyvolunteerstrialsingledays before -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 10.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 45 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- other (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 19055 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2101 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 10.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ritonavir
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Drug-Drug Interaction Study: ASP2151 and Midazolam NCT02403635 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Drug-Drug Interaction Study: ASP2151 and Ciclosporin NCT02280421 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Drug Interaction Study Between GSK1349572 and Tipranavir/Ritonavir in Healthy Volunteers NCT01068925 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Drug-Drug Interaction Study: ASP2151 and Bupropion NCT02369172 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Drug Interaction Study to Assess the Pharmacokinetics of Narlaprevir and Antiretroviral Drugs NCT03537404 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.