An Open-Label Study of a Novel JAK-inhibitor, INCB052793, Given to Patients With Advanced Malignancies
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 25% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2019-02-27, after 2014-09-10 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-02-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 29.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: syndromeleukemiamyeloidbreast canceradvanced
Phrases that lowered it: myelomalenalidomiderelapsedopen labellymphoma -
Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 24 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 8 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 24 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 29.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 12 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 8 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 141363 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 27734 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- azacitidine, bortezomib, carfilzomib, dexamethasone, gemcitabine, itacitinib, lenalidomide, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- An Open-Label, Dose-Escalation Study of INCB054329 in Patients With Advanced Malignancies NCT02431260 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
- An Open-Label, Dose-Escalation/Dose-Expansion Safety Study of INCB059872 in Subjects With Advanced Malignancies NCT02712905 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials terminated
- A Dose-escalation Study in Subjects With Advanced Malignancies NCT01195311 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials completed
- A Dose-escalation Study in Subjects With Advanced Malignancies NCT01072266 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- Study of INCB040093 in Subjects With Previously Treated B-Cell Malignancies NCT01905813 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.