Safety & Efficacy of Dual Therapy With Raltegravir/Lamivudine
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (313 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2017-02-28, after 2015-09-27 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-02-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chronicassess theto assessto randomizationstudy
Phrases that lowered it: hiv infectedantiretroviralcombinationpatientsin hiv -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 10 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 2 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 11069 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2022 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 88.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- efavirenz, raltegravir
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study With Dual Therapy Including Lamivudine (300 mg QD) Plus Raltegravir (1200 mg QD) in Virologically Suppressed HIV-1 Infected Patients Experiencing Inconvenience, Toxicity, Negative Impact on Co-morbidities or Risk of Drug-drug Interactions With Their Current Regimen NCT03333083 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials terminated
- Raltegravir Switch for Toxicity or Adverse Events NCT00958100 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
- A Study to Determine the Safety and Efficacy of Once Daily Raltegravir Compared to Twice Daily Raltegravir (MK-0518-071) NCT00745823 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials terminated
- A Prospective, Open-label Trial of Two ABC/3TC Based Regimens in Late Presenter naïve Patients (CD4 <200 Cells/µL) NCT01900106 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- Impact of Raltegravir Intensification on HIV-1-infected Subjects With Complete Viral Suppression Under Monotherapy With Protease Inhibitors NCT01480713 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.