The Paediatric EVICEL® Neuro Study
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 15% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (734 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2021-09-17, after 2014-10-01 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-09-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 20% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjectsubjectsventricularsafety andbrain
Phrases that lowered it: the trialperiodsurgeryefficacyelective -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 8 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 30 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 17 (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- not given (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 17 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 30 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 20% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 8 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- neurology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- fibrin sealant
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- The EVICEL® Neurosurgery Phase III Study NCT02457546 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Effectiveness of EVICEL as an Adjunct to Sutured Dural Repair NCT01174992 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
- Fibrin Sealant for the Sealing of Dura Sutures NCT00681824 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
- Bioseal Dural Sealing Study BIOS-14-001 NCT03110783 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of FS VH S/D 500 S-apr (Tisseel) as an Adjunct to Sutured Dural Repair in Cranial Surgery NCT02891070 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.