Delayed Start Versus Conventional Antagonist Protocol in Poor Responders Pretreated by Estradiol in Luteal Phase
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 14% of the time (741 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-01-31, after 2015-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Minimum age: 35 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: antagonistagepoordiseasepatient
Phrases that lowered it: daypatientscentertypewere excluded -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 81 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 3.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 88.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 35 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 44 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 61 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 81 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 27 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 10 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 88.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 3.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cetrorelix
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Progestin Primed Double Stimulation Protocol Versus Flexible GnRH Antagonist Protocol in Poor Responders NCT04537078 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- Dual Ovarian Stimulation in the Same IVF/ICSI Cycles for Treatment of Poor Ovarian Responders NCT02732808 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
- Protocols of IVF/ICSI in Poor Responders NCT04356105 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Outcome of Two Protocols in Poor Responders in Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) Cycle NCT01006954 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Recombinant LH Prior to Ovarian Stimulation in Poor Ovarian Responders (PRE-LH) NCT03741699 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.