Everolimus in Patients With Advanced Solid Malignancies With TSC1, TSC2, NF1, NF2, or STK11 Mutations
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 25% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2017-08-15, after 2015-10-07 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-08-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: therapypriorpatientillnessmarrow
Phrases that lowered it: mmhgparticipantspressurevaccineinfluenza -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 28.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 130 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 325 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 325 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 130 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 12880 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3876 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 88.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 28.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- everolimus
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Everolimus for Cancer With TSC1 or TSC2 Mutation NCT02201212 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
- A Phase II, Single-Arm Study of RAD001 (Everolimus), Letrozole, and Metformin in Patients With Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Carcinoma NCT01797523 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
- Everolimus and Letrozole or Hormonal Therapy to Treat Endometrial Cancer NCT02228681 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
- Phase II Study of Everolimus (RAD001) in Children and Adults With Neurofibromatosis Type 2 NCT01419639 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
- Pharmacokinetically Guided Everolimus in Patients With Breast Cancer, Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors, or Kidney Cancer NCT02273752 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.