A Study of Selinexor in Combination With Daunorubicin and Cytarabine for Untreated AML
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 24% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-02-01, after 2015-06-18 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-02-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: transplantcellallogeneicstemto determine
Phrases that lowered it: participantsother protocolsafety ofcriteria maycombination -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 33.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 34 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 114 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 33.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 34 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 17988 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3201 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cytarabine, daunorubicin, selinexor
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase II Study of Selinexor Plus Cytarabine and Idarubicin in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT02249091 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- Selinexor With Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT02573363 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Selinexor (KPT-330) Plus FLAG-Ida for the Treatment of Relapsing/Refractory AML NCT03661515 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
- Selinexor in Combination With Fludarabine and Cytarabine in Patients With Refractory or Relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT03071276 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
- Selinexor (KPT-330) in Older Patients With Relapsed AML NCT02088541 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.