MIRs03: Paravertebral Block With Ropivacaine Before Breast Cancer Surgery
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 14% for any early termination, 16% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (607 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-03-09, after 2015-03-27 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-03-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: carcinomacancermetastaticcellsurgery
Phrases that lowered it: effect ofmalethe effectthe trialcompare -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 85 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 8 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 85 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 8 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 13 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1338 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 208 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 7.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ropivacaine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- MIRs 04 : Interpectoral Nerve Block With Ropivacaine Versus Placebo Before Breast Cancer Surgery NCT04327063 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials completed
- Three-level Injection Paravertebral Block vs General Anesthesia in Mastectomy NCT02065947 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Double-blind Study to Assess effectIveness of Pectoral Nerves Block After Breast Surgery on Piritramide Consumption NCT02655965 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
- Pre-op Paravertebral Blocks to Decrease Post-op Pain Following Mastectomy With Immediate Tissue Expander (TE) Reconstruction NCT02161705 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials terminated
- ROPI Study : Ropivacaine Interest in Postsurgical Pain After Mastectomy NCT01855529 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.