Ixazomib, Cyclophosphamide and Dexamethasone for Multiple Myeloma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 23% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-11-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: serumsubjectmg dlenrollmentmultiple
  Phrases that lowered it: days beforeinvestigatorperiodscreeningvirus
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 102885 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 26955 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Ixazomib Citrate, Pomalidomide, Dexamethasone, Stem Cell Transplant in Treating Relapsed or Refractory Multiple Myeloma NCT03202628 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
• Ixazomib With Cyclophosphamide and Dexamethasone in Patients With Previously Untreated Symptomatic Multiple Myeloma or Light Chain Amyloidosis NCT01864018 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
• Ixazomib Citrate, Lenalidomide, Dexamethasone, and Daratumumab in Treating Patients With Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma NCT03012880 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
• Idasanutlin, Ixazomib Citrate, and Dexamethasone in Treating Patients With Relapsed Multiple Myeloma NCT02633059 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
• Ixazomib (MLN9708) and Dexamethasone in High Risk Smoldering Multiple Myeloma: A Clinical and Correlative Pilot Study NCT02697383 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.