A Study To Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, And Pharmacokinetics Of PF-06266047 In Healthy Adult Subjects
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-05-31, after 2015-08-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilitysubjectascendingtolerability andhormone
Phrases that lowered it: healthysubjectsevaluate thedaysto evaluate -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1518 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Keywords listed: 8 (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 212 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- not given (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 8 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1518 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 212 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase 1 Study To Characterize The Safety, Tolerability, PK And PK Of Repeat Doses Of PF-06648671 In Healthy Adults And Healthy Elderly Subjects NCT02440100 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Study To Determine The Effect Of Single-dose PF-04965842 On QTc Interval In Healthy Volunteers Compared With Placebo and Moxifloxacin NCT03386279 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A First In Human Study In Healthy People To Evaluate Safety, Toleration And Time Course Of Plasma Concentration Of Single Oral Doses Of PF-06273340 NCT01601834 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study In Healthy People To Evaluate Safety, Toleration And Time Course Of Plasma Concentration Of Multiple Oral Doses Of PF-04895162 NCT01691274 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- A Multiple Dose Trial Evaluating the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of PF-04457845 in Healthy Volunteers NCT00836082 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.