A 12-week Study To Evaluate PF-06291874 Once a Day in Adults With T2DM Inadequately Controlled On Metformin
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 11% of the time (493 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-08-31, after 2015-10-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 1532 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: pfmsecqtcheartinterval
Phrases that lowered it: metforminblood pressuretype diabeteshcvsingle -
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 204 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1532 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 204 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics And Pharmacodynamics Study Of PF-06291874 As Oral Monotherapy To Treat Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus NCT02175121 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
- PF-06291874 Multiple Ascending Dose Study In Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients NCT01856595 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials completed
- Study of Multiple Oral Doses of PF-07081532 in Adult Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus NCT05158244 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials completed
- A 16 Week Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of PF-06882961 in Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus NCT03985293 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 73% of active trials completed
- A 2-week Trial Of PF-04991532 In Patients With Type 2 Diabetes NCT01469065 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.