Chemoradiotherapy for Patients With Locally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Using Raltitrexed-Cisplatin
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 19% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-08-31, after 2015-08-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: carcinomaconcurrentheart failurebreastcardiac
Phrases that lowered it: drugsand safetyefficacy andthe efficacyto evaluate -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 22.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 25430 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3584 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cisplatin, raltitrexed
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Induction Cisplatin and Capecitabine Followed by Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT03427359 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
- Nedaplatin in Treatment for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT04834206 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials completed
- Concurrent Cisplatin Chemoradiation With or Without Capecitabine as Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Local Advanced High Risk Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Randomized Control Clinical Trial NCT02143388 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
- Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Nedaplatin Versus Cisplatin in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT01540136 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- Induction and Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Cetuximab for Patients With Locally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT01230476 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.