Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory Primary Mediastinal Large B-cell Lymphoma or Relapsed or Refractory Richter Syndrome (MK-3475-170/KEYNOTE-170)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 7% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-10-23, after 2015-12-02 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-10-23. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 117 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: syndromeleukemiaclllymphomatherapy
Phrases that lowered it: participantsmkdruglinethe efficacy -
Sponsor's past trials: 1119 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 75.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1119 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 117 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1675 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1190 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 75.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory Primary Mediastinal Large B-cell Lymphoma (rrPMBCL) (MK-3475-A33/KEYNOTE-A33) NCT04317066 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
- A Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Relapsed or Refractory Classical Hodgkin's Lymphoma (rrcHL) or Relapsed or Refractory Primary Mediastinal Large B-cell Lymphoma (rrPMBCL) (MK-3475-B68) NCT04875195 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
- Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) vs. Brentuximab Vedotin in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma (MK-3475-204/KEYNOTE-204) NCT02684292 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials completed
- Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Combination With Dinaciclib (MK-7965) in Hematologic Malignancies (MK-3475-155/KEYNOTE-155) NCT02684617 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials terminated
- Pembrolizumab for Patients With PD-L1 Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) NCT03990961 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.