Safety and Efficacy of Switching From Dolutegravir and ABC/3TC or ABC/DTG/3TC to B/F/TAF in HIV-1 Infected Adults Who Are Virologically Suppressed

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 8% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-10-23. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: keychronicacutesubjectfor months
  Phrases that lowered it: hiv infectedcopies mlto evaluateevaluate thevisit
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 12.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 97 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Switching to a Fixed Dose Combination of Bictegravir/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide (B/F/TAF) in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1) Infected Adults Who Are Virologically Suppressed NCT03110380 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Bictegravir/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide Versus Abacavir/Dolutegravir/Lamivudine in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV-1) Infected, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT02607930 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Bictegravir/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide Versus Dolutegravir + Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV-1) Infected, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT02607956 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Multicentric Open-label Study of Switch From Abacavir/Lamivudine Fixed Dose Combination Plus Nevirapine to Abacavir/Lamivudine/Dolutegravir in Virologically Suppressed HIV-1 Infected Adults (SWAD) NCT02067767 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
• Switch Study to Evaluate F/TAF in HIV-1 Infected Adults Who Are Virologically Suppressed on Regimens Containing ABC/3TC NCT02469246 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.