Patritumab With Cetuximab and a Platinum Agent for Squamous Cell Carcinoma (Cancer) of the Head and Neck (SCCHN )
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 28% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2018-02-21, after 2015-12-22 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-02-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerplacebotumorand neckhead and
Phrases that lowered it: combinationweeks beforelinecontainingmedication -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 32 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 20.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 9818 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 69218 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 5 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 138 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 138 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 32 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 5 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 69218 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 9818 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 20.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, cetuximab, cisplatin, patritumab, platinum
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Patritumab With Cetuximab and a Platinum Containing Therapy for Patients With Head and Neck Cancer NCT02350712 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Study of the Combination of Panitumumab With Paclitaxel as First-line Treatment of Subjects With Head and Neck Cancer NCT01264328 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials completed
- Chemotherapy With Cetuximab in Treating Patients With Recurrent or Metastatic Head and Neck Cancer NCT01289522 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
- EMD 1201081 in Combination With Cetuximab in Second-Line Cetuximab-Naïve Subjects With Recurrent or Metastatic Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck NCT01040832 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- A Phase I Comparative Study of Pharmacokinetics, Safety, and Efficacy of RPH-002 and Erbitux® in Unresectable Metastatic or Recurrent Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma NCT07435311 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.