Study of the Effects of Ethnicity on the Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Safety of DS-1040b
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-06-30, after 2016-02-29 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjects withsubjecttypesubjects mustiv
Phrases that lowered it: healthymmhgsafety ofand safetybleeding -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 34 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 143 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 60 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 143 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 34 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase 1 Study to Evaluate the Safety and Tolerability of DS-1040b IV Infusion With Clopidogrel in Healthy Subjects NCT02560688 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Effects of Age, Gender & Race on the Pharmacokinetics (PK)of DS-1971a NCT02261376 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A PHASE 1, OPEN-LABEL, CROSS-OVER, FIXED SEQUENCE STUDY TO EVALUATE THE EFFECT OF MULTIPLE DOSES OF DS-1971A ON THE SINGLE DOSE PHARMACOKINETICS OF PROBE SUBSTRATES FOR CYP2B6, CYP2C8, CYP2C9, CYP2C19 AND CYP3A4 ENZYMES IN HEALTHY MALE AND FEMALE SUBJECTS NCT02473627 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Multiple Dose Study of D1971a in Healthy Volunteers NCT02564861 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study to Investigate the Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability of GSK1349572 (Dolutegravir, DTG) in Healthy Japanese Subjects NCT01332565 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.