A Study of Abemaciclib in Healthy Participants
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-07-31, after 2016-02-29 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-07-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: to determineqtheartstudy druginterval
Phrases that lowered it: healthysinglescreeningbodyeffect of -
Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 6.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 144 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 1002 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 12.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 68.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: basic science (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 5 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- single (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1002 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 6.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 144 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 21048 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 7913 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 68.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 12.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- abemaciclib, loperamide
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Pharmacodynamics of AB801 in Healthy Volunteers NCT06004921 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- CAEB071 Thorough QTc Study in Healthy Volunteers NCT01594255 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Study of Abemaciclib in Healthy Participants NCT02672423 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Cardiac Effects of ALXN2050 in Healthy Adults NCT04660890 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Phase 1 BIO 300 Oral Suspension NCT06741345 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.