A Multi-Center, Randomized, Double-Blind, Phase III Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Saxagliptin Co-administered With Dapagliflozin Compared to Saxagliptin or Dapagliflozin All Given as add-on Therapy to Metformin in Subject With Type 2 Diabetes

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 8% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (803 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-07-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: patientdiseasetherapypriorcontrolled
  Phrases that lowered it: metformintype diabeteswith typemoderateefficacy
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 1352 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 130 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 183 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 80.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Effects of Dapagliflozin+Saxagliptin in Addition to Metformin v/s Saxagliptin or Dapagliflozin in Patients With DM2. NCT03714594 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
• Safety and Efficacy of Dapagliflozin in Asian T2DM Subjects With Inadequate Glycemic Control on Metformin/Saxagliptin NCT03608358 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials terminated
• Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Saxagliptin Co-administered With Dapagliflozin in Combination With Metformin Compared to Sitagliptin in Combination With Metformin in Adult Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Inadequate Glycemic Control on Metformin Therapy Alone NCT02284893 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 24% of active trials completed
• A 24-week Open-Label, Phase 3b Trial With a 28-week Extension to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Saxagliptin Co-administered With Dapagliflozin Compared to Insulin Glargine in Subjects withType 2 Diabetes Who Have Glycemic Control on Metformin NCT02551874 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Saxagliptin in Combination With Metformin IR Compared to Saxagliptin Monotherapy and to Metformin IR Monotherapy in Drug Naive Chinese Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Inadequate Glycaemic Control NCT02273050 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.