Combination Margetuximab and Pembrolizumab for Advanced, Metastatic HER2(+) Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 29% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-01-31, after 2016-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: her2priormetastaticcancertherapy
Phrases that lowered it: gastricopen labeldruggastrointestinalclinically significant -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 66.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 33.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 7 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 9 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 66.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 7 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1921 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1299 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 76.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 33.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- margetuximab, pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Combination Margetuximab, Retifanlimab, Tebotelimab, and Chemotherapy Phase 2/3 Trial in HER2+ Gastric/GEJ Cancer NCT04082364 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
- A Phase 1b/2 Study of MEDI4736 With Tremelimumab, MEDI4736 or Tremelimumab Monotherapy in Gastric or GEJ Adenocarcinoma NCT02340975 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
- Phase Ib/II Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Nivolumab in Combination With Paclitaxel in Epstein-Barr Virus(EBV)-Related, or Microsatellite Instability-High (MSI-H), or Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 (PD-L1) Positive Advanced Gastric Cancer NCT05535569 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
- Anti-HER2 Bispecific Antibody Zanidatamab (ZW25) Activity in Combination With Chemotherapy With/Without Tislelizumab NCT04276493 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
- A Study of Atezolizumab and Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin in Patients With HER2 Positive Locally Advanced Resectable Gastric Cancer of Adenocarcinoma of Gastroesophageal Junction NCT04661150 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.