Diclofenac Potassium With Lidocaine Cream in Reducing Pain During HSG
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 6% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 14% of the time (741 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-07-31, after 2016-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-07-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: to determinepatientstudy isdetermine thetrial of
Phrases that lowered it: the aimaim ofthe efficacytrialcream -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 9.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 97 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 69.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 13284 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 49 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 19 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 42 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 49 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 97 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 67418 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 13284 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 69.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 9.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- diclofenac, diclofenac lidocaine, lidocaine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Lidocaine-prilocaine Cream on IUD Insertion Pain NCT02658773 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- Self-administered Lidocaine Gel for Pain-control During Cervical Preparation for Dilation and Evacuation NCT02852434 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Efficacy and Tolerability of Diclofenac Potassium Soft Gelatin Capsules Compared With Ibuprofen Tablets in Patients With Moderate to Severe Postoperative Dental Pain NCT02476422 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- Diclofenac Plus Lidocaine Gel for Pain Relief During Intrauterine Device Insertion(IUD). NCT02332057 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Diclofenac Sodium Topical Gel 1% Compared to Placebo in Subjects With Acute Blunt Trauma Injuries NCT02290821 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.