MLN0128 and MLN0128 + MLN1117 Compared With Everolimus in the Treatment of Adults With Advanced or Metastatic Clear-Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 18% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-10-13. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: metastaticcelleverolimusheartischemic
  Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsevaluate theto evaluateand safety
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 26.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 18 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 82.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Trial to Assess Safety and Efficacy of Lenvatinib (18 mg vs. 14 mg) in Combination With Everolimus in Participants With Renal Cell Carcinoma NCT03173560 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
• Everolimus and Bevacizumab in Advanced Non-Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) NCT01399918 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
• A Trial to Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of Lenvatinib in Combination With Everolimus in Subjects With Unresectable Advanced or Metastatic Non Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma (nccRCC) Who Have Not Received Any Chemotherapy for Advanced Disease NCT02915783 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
• Everolimus Versus Sunitinib in Non-Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma NCT01185366 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials terminated
• Dose Escalation Study Investigating Everolimus and Dovitinib in Metastatic Clear Cell Renal Cancer NCT01714765 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.