Bioequivalence Study of Two Oral Nitisinone Formulations to Treat Hereditary Tyrosinemia (HT-1)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 2% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (544 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-05-31, after 2016-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: hypertensionto determinediagnosisevidencethe subject
Phrases that lowered it: healthyadministrationperiodmgtablets -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 31.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 99.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: basic science (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 6 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 2 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 214 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 36 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 99.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 31.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- neurology, metabolic
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- nitisinone
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Bioequivalence Study of Two Nitisinone Formulations Compared to Orfadin NCT02750709 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Bioavailability Food-Effect Study of an Oral Nitisinone Formulation to Treat Hereditary Tyrosinemia (HT-1) NCT02750332 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- A Two Part Phase 1, Repeated Doses and Continuous Infusion Study With ITF2984 in Healthy Volunteers NCT01897844 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- ITF2984 Repeated Doses Study in Healthy Volunteers NCT01871844 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study in Healthy Subjects to Evaluate Pharmacokinetics and Food Effect After Dosing of GS-248 NCT04617509 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.