Safety and Reactogenicity Study of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Investigational Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Vaccine (GSK3003891A) in Healthy Women
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (780 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-06-28, after 2016-04-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-06-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chronictime ofacutediseaseto assess
Phrases that lowered it: healthyvaccinevaccinationperiodmedical history -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.9% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 2226 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 232 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2226 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 232 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety, Reactogenicity and Immunogenicity Study of Different Formulations of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Investigational RSV Vaccine (GSK3003891A), in Healthy Women NCT02360475 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Study to Rank Different Dosages of Antigen of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Investigational Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Vaccine (GSK3003891A), Based on Their Immune Response and Safety, When Administered to Healthy Adult Women NCT02956837 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Safety, Reactogenicity and Immunogenicity of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Investigational Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Vaccines NCT01905215 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Safety, Reactogenicity and Immune Response of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Investigational Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Vaccine (GSK3844766A) in Older Adults NCT03814590 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Safety, Reactogenicity and Immunogenicity of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' RSV Investigational Vaccine (ChAd155-RSV) (GSK3389245A) in Healthy Adults NCT02491463 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.