A Study to Assess the Effect of BMS-986142 on Pharmacokinetics (PK) of Probe Substrates
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (238 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-08-31, after 2016-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: bmscancerwomenactiveorgan
Phrases that lowered it: healthysingle dosevital signsmedical historydrug -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 92 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 10.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 262535 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 524 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 72.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 50 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 524 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 92 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 5 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 262535 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 46527 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 72.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 10.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- immunology, dermatology, musculoskeletal
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- digoxin, flurbiprofen, midazolam, montelukast, omeprazole
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase 1 Drug-drug Interaction Study in Healthy Volunteers NCT02227173 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Study to Investigate the Effect of BMS-986142 on the Pharmacokinetics (PK) of Methotrexate and Probe Substrate Cocktail in Healthy Patients NCT02456844 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Effect of BMS-986419 on the Single Dose Drug Levels of Probe Substrates in Healthy Participants NCT05932277 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Effects of Concomitant Administration of BMS-986195 on Methotrexate, Caffeine, Montelukast, Flurbiprofen, Omeprazole, Midazolam, Digoxin, and Pravastatin NCT03131973 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Study to Characterize the Effects of Cytochrome p450 1A2 Inhibition on Systemic Exposure to BMS-986165 NCT03930602 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.