Blinatumomab Maintenance Following Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Patients With Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 29% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-02-01, after 2016-08-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-02-01. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: transplantsmallcellallogeneicstem
Phrases that lowered it: safety ofmyeloidfactordefinedinduction -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 27.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 71.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 215 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 1 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 1 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 608 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 27.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 215 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 810 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 607 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 71.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- blinatumomab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Low-Intensity Chemotherapy and Blinatumomab in Treating Patients With Philadelphia Chromosome Negative Relapsed or Refractory Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia NCT03518112 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials terminated
- Blinatumomab Bridging Therapy for BALL NCT04556084 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
- Blinatumomab in Treating Patients With B-cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia With Minimal Residual Disease NCT02458014 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
- Blinatumomab Versus Standard of Care Chemotherapy in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) NCT02013167 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 37% of active trials terminated
- Blinatumomab Followed by High-dose Chemotherapy for Ph-negative Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (ALL) NCT04554485 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.