Bosutinib in Elderly Chronic Myeloid Leukemia
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 19% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-06-22, after 2016-11-17 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientpriorlineconfirmedstudy is
Phrases that lowered it: accordingdrugsafetymyeloid leukemiaelderly -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 46.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 60 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 17 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 6 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1712 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 501 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 46.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 8.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bosutinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Bosutinib in Treating Patients With Chronic Myeloid Leukemia in Chronic Phase After Frontline TKI Failure NCT02906696 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials terminated
- CML Treated With Bosutinib After Relapse NCT02445742 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
- A Multicenter Phase 3, Open-Label Study of Bosutinib Versus Imatinib in Adult Patients With Newly Diagnosed Chronic Phase Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia NCT02130557 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
- Study of Bosutinib in Japanese Adult Patients With Newly Diagnosed Chronic Phase Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia NCT03128411 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Dasatinib in Patients With Chronic Myeloid Leukemia NCT00895297 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.