Study to Evaluate Safety and Efficacy of Blinatumomab in Subjects With Relapsed/Refractory (R/R) Aggressive B-Cell NHL
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 34% of the time (35 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-03-12, after 2017-01-23 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-03-12. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellcarcinomatransplantstemautologous
Phrases that lowered it: leukemiasubjectshepatitis virusrelapsedresponse -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Phase: 2/3 (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 67 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 444 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: sequential (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 69.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 1168 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2/3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 444 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 10.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 67 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1168 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 713 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 69.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- blinatumomab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Efficacy of Blinatumomab in Adults With Newly Diagnosed High-risk Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma NCT03023878 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- A Study Of Blinatumomab For The Treatment Of Relapsed Or Refractory Indolent Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT02811679 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials terminated
- A Phase 1b Open-Label Study Investigating the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of Administration of Subcutaneous Blinatumomab for the Treatment of Relapsed/Refractory Indolent Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma NCT02961881 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials completed
- Effect of Blinatumomab on Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) Subjects Post Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation (aHSCT) NCT03298412 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
- Blinatumomab Bridging Therapy for BALL NCT04556084 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.