Evaluating the Safety and Immunogenicity of HIV Clade C DNA Vaccine and MF59- or AS01B-Adjuvanted Clade C Env Protein Vaccines in Various Combinations in Healthy, HIV-Uninfected Adults
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 6% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 0% of the time (33 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-02-12, after 2016-12-07 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-02-12. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: or equalequal tocellsgreaterdetermine
Phrases that lowered it: volunteersparticipantsasthmahealthyblood pressure -
Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 6.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1103 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 111 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 8 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 8 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 40 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1103 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 6.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 111 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Evaluating the Safety and Immunogenicity of ALVAC-HIV and MF59®- or AS01B-adjuvanted Bivalent Subtype C gp120 in Healthy, HIV-uninfected Adult Participants NCT03122223 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- Safety and Immune Response to a Clade C DNA HIV Vaccine NCT02997969 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Safety and Immunogenicity of Clade C ALVAC and gp120 HIV Vaccine NCT03284710 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Phase 1 Clinical Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Immunogenicity of HIV-1 Chimp Adenovirus Vaccines Expressing Clade C gp140 & CH505TF gp120 Protein Boost in HIV-uninfected Adult. NCT05182125 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Evaluating the Safety and Immunogenicity of an HIV Vaccine (gp145 C.6980) in Healthy, HIV-Uninfected Adults in the United States NCT03382418 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.