Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Placebo in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus on Background of Metformin

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 7% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (803 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-03-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: randomizationheartplacebopriorenrollment
  Phrases that lowered it: metformintype diabeteswith typemellitussafety of
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 62.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 10 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 169659 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Glimepiride and Placebo in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus That Are Taking Metformin Monotherapy NCT03332771 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Placebo in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus on Background of Sulfonylurea Alone or With Metformin NCT03066830 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Placebo in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Not Currently Treated With Antidiabetic Therapy NCT02926937 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Placebo in Chinese Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Not Adequately Controlled by Metformin With or Without Sulfonylurea NCT03761134 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials terminated
• Efficacy and Safety of Sotagliflozin Versus Placebo in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Who Have Inadequate Glycemic Control While Taking Insulin Alone or With Other Oral Antidiabetic Agents NCT03285594 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.