Iron Isomaltoside/Ferric Derisomaltose vs Iron Sucrose for Treatment of Iron Deficiency Anemia in Non-Dialysis-Dependent Chronic Kidney Disease

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 13% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (803 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-05-29. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: screeningchronicdialysiskidneystable
  Phrases that lowered it: trialefficacysafetyparticipatephase iii
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 63.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 142070 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Iron Isomaltoside 1000 (Monofer®) in Non-Dialysis Dependent Chronic Kidney Disease and With Renal-Related Anaemia NCT01102413 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
• Iron Isomaltoside/Ferric Derisomaltose vs Iron Sucrose for the Treatment of Iron Deficiency Anemia (IDA) NCT02940886 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
• Open-label Pharmacokinetic Study of Iron Isomaltoside 1000 (Monofer®) Administered by 500 mg IV Bolus Injection or 1000 mg Intravenous to Patients With CKD NCT01213992 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
• Ferric Carboxymaltose (FCM) Assessment in Subjects With Iron Deficiency Anaemia and Non-dialysis-dependent Chronic Kidney Disease (NDD-CKD) NCT00994318 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
• A Randomized, Comparative, Open-label Study of IV Monofer® Administered as Maintenance Therapy by Single or Repeated Bolus Injections in Comparison With IV Iron Sucrose in Subjects With CKD-5D NCT01222884 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.