Pharmacokinetic Study of E7080/Lenvatinib in Chinese Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-12-28. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: heartcarcinomadiagnosis ofstagesitu
  Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantspharmacokineticscreeningblood
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 1.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 9 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 65 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Multicenter, Open-Label, Phase 3 Trial to Compare the Efficacy and Safety of Lenvatinib (E7080) Versus Sorafenib in First-line Treatment of Participants With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma NCT01761266 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials completed
• Lenvatinib for the Treatment of Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplant NCT05103904 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials terminated
• Phase 1 Study to Determine the Effect of Lenvatinib (E7080) on the Pharmacokinetics of Midazolam in Subjects With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT02686164 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials completed
• Trial to Evaluate Safety and Efficacy of Treatment of Physician Choice (TPC) Following First-Line Treatment of Lenvatinib in Subjects With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma (uHCC) NCT03433703 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials terminated
• Lenvatinib in Patients With Previously Treated Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer NCT04656249 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 37% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.