A Study Of PF-06747143, As Single Agent Or In Combination With Standard Chemotherapy In Adult Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 19% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2017-12-05, after 2016-11-28 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-12-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: leukemiachemotherapycelltransplantchronic
Phrases that lowered it: adultpatientsevaluate theto evaluatepharmacokinetics -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1624 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 34.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 155 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- not given (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1624 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 155 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 31404 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4598 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 34.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- azacitidine, cytarabine, daunorubicin, decitabine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase Ib, Open-label, Multi-center Dose-finding Study of Oral Panobinostat (LBH589) in Combination With Ara-C and Mitoxantrone as Salvage Therapy for Refractory or Relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT01055483 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
- Flotetuzumab in Primary Induction Failure (PIF) or Early Relapse (ER) Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT02152956 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials terminated
- Study of CC-96191 in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04789655 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials terminated
- Safety and Efficacy Study of PD-616 Plus Cytarabine to Treat Acute Myelogenous Leukemia or Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT01795924 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials terminated
- Fludarabine in Combination With Daunorubicin and Cytarabine Liposome in Newly-diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia. NCT04425655 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.