A Trial on the Efficacy, Safety and Immunogenicity of Live-Attenuated Influenza Vaccine (LAIV)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 2% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: kidney diseaseheartsyndromeliver diseasechronic
Phrases that lowered it: vaccineinfluenzahealthyvaccinationimmunogenicity -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 3 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 17 (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 6 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 3 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 17 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Randomized, Controlled Trial on the Efficacy and Safety of Live-Attenuated Influenza Vaccine (LAIV) Among Children in Bangladesh NCT01797029 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- A Dose Ranging Study Comparing Different Combinations of Adjuvanted and Non-adjuvanted Influenza Vaccines in Healthy Children 6 to <36 Months of Age NCT00848887 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Safety and Immunogenicity of Two 0.25 mL or 0.5 mL Doses of Two Different Influenza Vaccines in Healthy Children Aged 6 to <60 Months NCT00649883 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Pivotal, Multicenter, Observer-Blind, Randomized Study of Influenza A (H1N1)2009 Monovalent Subunit Vaccine With and Without Adjuvant in Children Ages 6 to <36 Months NCT00996307 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Clinical Study to Evaluate the Safety, Immunogenicity and Efficacy of Investigational Flu Vaccine Compared to Approved Flu Vaccine in Children. NCT01964989 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.