A Study of Durvalumab in Combination With R-CHOP or Lenalidomide Plus R-CHOP in Previously Untreated High-Risk Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 21% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-04-24, after 2017-02-28 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-04-24. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: riskcellsubjects withhighdl
Phrases that lowered it: open labelto evaluateevaluate theclinicalcombination -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 55 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 497389 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 85.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 94322 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 130 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 12 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 130 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 55 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 8 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 497389 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 94322 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 85.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, durvalumab, lenalidomide, prednisolone, prednisone, rituximab, vincristine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Lenalidomide Plus R-CHOP Chemotherapy Versus Placebo Plus R-CHOP Chemotherapy in Untreated ABC Type Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT02285062 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
- A Study to Determine Dose, Safety, and Efficacy of Durvalumab as Monotherapy and in Combination Therapy in Subjects With Lymphoma or Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia NCT02733042 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
- Study of Rituximab and Bendamustine With or Without Brentuximab Vedotin for CD30 Positive Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT02594163 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials terminated
- R-CHOP Combined With Lenalidomide in the First-line Treatment for Patients With Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma NCT04214626 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
- Lenalidomide Combined With R-CHOP(R2-CHOP) in Newly Diagnosed Double-expressor Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma Patients NCT04164368 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.