Empagliflozin vs Metformin in PCOS
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase and sponsor type, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 7% of the time (56 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-04-02, after 2017-08-18 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-04-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metforminwomendiagnosis ofacutedisorder
Phrases that lowered it: the effecteffect ofthe aimaim ofrandomised -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 2.9% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: health services research (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Phase: 2/3 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 35427 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 62.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 198940 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 45 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 12 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2/3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- health services research (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 35 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 2.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 12 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 198940 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 35427 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 62.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 7.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- empagliflozin, metformin
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Empagliflozin vs Metformin on Metabolic Dysfunction in Polycystic Ovary Syndrome With or Without Comorbidity or Multimorbidity NCT06140108 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
- Dapagliflozin Efficacy and Action in PCOS NCT04213677 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
- EQW, DAPA, EQW/DAPA, DAPA/MET ER and PHEN/TPM ER in Obese Women With PolycysticOvary Syndrome (PCOS) NCT02635386 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- MLE4901 vs. Placebo for the Treatment of PCOS NCT02865915 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials terminated
- Comparing the Effects of Oral Contraceptive Pills Versus Metformin NCT03229057 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.